Research

On this page you will find my ongoing and previous research.

WORKING PAPERS

Sourcing and Bias in the Study of Coups: Lessons from the Middle East. With Salah Ben Hammou and Bailey Sellers.

Unconstitutional Changes of Government and the (Dis)Organization of African Unity. With Mwita Chacha.

Following the Free Officers: Coup Contagion in the Middle East. With Salah Ben Hammou.

Missteps and Mutinies. With Christopher Faulkner and Jaclyn Johnson.

PUBLICATIONS

Ali, Hager, Salah Ben Hammou, and Jonathan Powell. 2022. Between Coups and Elections: Constitutional Engineering and Military Entrenchment in Sudan. Africa Spectrum.

Powell, Jonathan, Salah Ben Hammou, Amy Erica Smith, Lucas Borba, Drew Holland Kinney, Mwita Chacha, and Erica De Bruin. 2022. Forum: A Coup at the Capitol? Conceptualizing Coups and Other Antidemocratic Actions. International Studies Review 24(1).

Powell, Jonathan, Rebecca Schiel, and Salah Ben Hammou. 2021. Oil Wealth, Risk Acceptance, and the Seizure of PowerJournal of Global Security Studies.

Schiel, Rebecca, Jonathan Powell, and Chris Faulkner. 2021. Mutiny in Africa, 1950-2018Conflict Management and Peace Science 38(4):481-499.

Vasquez, Paul, and Jonathan Powell. 2021. Institutional Arsenals for Democracy? Conscription, Coups, and DemocracyArmed Forces & Society 47(2):298-318.

Banini, Daniel, Jonathan Powell, and Michael Yekple. 2020. Peacekeeping as Coup Avoidance: Lessons from GhanaAfrican Security 13(3):235-259.

Schiel, Rebecca, Jonathan Powell, and Ursula Daxecker. 2020. Peacekeeping and Mutinies in African Sending StatesForeign Policy Analysis 16(3):251-271.

Christopher Faulkner, Jonathan Powell, and Trace Lasley. 2019. Creed versus Deed: Illicit Financing, Rebel Goals, and the Use of Child SoldiersThird World Quarterly 40(6):1017-1039.

Powell, Jonathan, Mwita Chacha, and Gary Smith. 2019. Opening Up or Digging in? Failed Coups, Democratization, and Authoritarian Entrenchment. African Affairs 118(471):238-258.

Powell, Jonathan, and Mwita Chacha. 2019. Closing the Book on Africa’s First-Generation CoupsAfrican Studies Quarterly 18(2): 87-94.

Faulkner, Christopher, Joshua Lambert, and Jonathan Powell. 2019. Reassessing Private Military and Security Company (PMSC) ‘Competition’ in Civil War: Lessons from Sierra LeoneSmall Wars & Insurgencies 30(3):641-659.

Powell, Jonathan. 2019. Leader Survival Strategies and the Onset of Civil Conflict: The Paradox of Coup-ProofingArmed Forces & Society 45(1):27-44.

Powell, Jonathan, and Karina Mukazhanova-Powell. 2019. Demonstrating Credentials?: Female Executives, Women’s Status, and the Use of ForceJournal of Women, Politics, & Policy 40(2):241-262.

Powell, Jonathan. 2019. Of Strong Men and Straw Men: Appraising Post-Coup Political DevelopmentsMilitary Review July-August:47-53.

Thyne, Clayton, and Jonathan Powell. 2019. Coup ResearchOxford Research Encyclopedia of International Studies.

Besaw, Clayton, Matthew Frank, Eric Keels, Jay Benson, John Filitz, and Jonathan Powell. 2019. Annual Risk of Coup Report. One Earth Future. OEF Research. April.

Thyne, Clayton, Jonathan Powell, Sarah Parrott, and Emily VanMeter. 2018. The Influence of Post-Coup Signals on Regime Survival. Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(7):1406-1432.

Powell, Jonathan, Christopher Faulkner, William Dean, and Kyle Romano. 2018. Give them Toys?: Military Allocations and Regime Stability in Transitional Democracies. Democratization 25(7):1153-1172.

Schroeder, Theresa, and Jonathan Powell. 2018. The Right Man for the Job: Gender as a Source of Civil-Military Friction. Armed Forces & Society 44(3):460-475.

Chacha, Mwita, and Jonathan Powell. 2018. “Economic Interdependence and Post-Coup Democratization.” In Kuehn, David (editor). The Military’s Impact on Democratic Development: Midwives or Gravediggers of Democracy? New York, NY: Routledge.

Chacha, Mwita, and Jonathan Powell. 2017. Economic Interdependence and Post-Coup Democratization. Democratization 24(5):819-838.

Schiel, Rebecca, Christopher Faulkner, and Jonathan Powell. 2017. Mutiny in Côte d’IvoireAfrica Spectrum 52(2):103-115.

Powell, Jonathan, and Mwita Chacha. 2016. Investing in Stability: Economic Interdependence, the Capitalist Peace, and Coups d’état. Journal of Peace Research 53(4):525-538.

Powell, Jonathan, Trace Lasley, and Rebecca Schiel. 2016. Combating Coups d’état in Africa, 1950-2014. Studies in Comparative International Development 51(4):482-502.

Powell, Jonathan, and Theresa Schroeder. 2016. Friends in Low Places?: The Conditional Effect of Trade on Women’s Status. Studies in Comparative International Development 51(2):169-188.

Thyne, Clayton, and Jonathan Powell. 2016. Coup d’état or Coup d’Autocracy? The Impact of Coups on Democratization, 1950-2008. Foreign Policy Analysis 12(2):192-213.

Powell, Jonathan. 2014. Trading Coups for Civil War: The Strategic Logic of Tolerating Rebellion in Africa, 1971-2000. African Security Review 23(4):329-338.

Powell, Jonathan. 2014. An Assessment of the ‘Democratic’ Coup Theory: Democratic Trajectories in Africa, 1961-2012. African Security Review 23(3):213-224.

Powell, Jonathan. 2014. Regime Vulnerability and the Diversionary Threat of Force. Journal of Conflict Resolution 58(1):169-196.

Powell, Jonathan. 2014. Determinants of the Attempting and Outcome of Coups d’état. Journal of Conflict Resolution 56(6):1017-1040.

Powell, Jonathan, and Clayton Thyne. 2011. Global Instances of Coups from 1950-2010: A New Dataset. Journal of Peace Research 48(2):249-259.