Commentary

Brazil’s 8 January insurrection: Distinguishing coup advocacy from coup attempt. With Salah Ben Hammou. The Loop. February 21, 2022.

The International Community, Coups, and Electoral ‘Attaboys. With Salah Ben Hammou. Political Violence at a Glance.” February 9, 2022.

Burkina Faso coup: latest sign of a rise in the ballot box being traded for bullets. The Conversation. January 25, 2022. French version.

Are coups really contagious. With Salah Ben Hammou. Washington Post (Monkey Cage). November 22, 2021.

Failed coup but successful transition? Contextualizing Sudan’s latest coup plot. With Salah Ben Hammou. Cairo Review of Global Affairs. October 12, 2021.

Another mutiny turned coup: Mali is no stranger to military unrest. With Christopher Faulkner, Jaclyn Johnson, and Rebecca Schiel. The Conversation. August 21, 2020.

Population size does not explain the high number of COVID-19 Cases in the United States. With Christopher Faulkner. Cairo Review of Global Affairs. April 4, 2020.

Flattening the curve. (on Covid19). With Christopher Faulkner. Duck of Minerva. March 16, 2020.

Guinea Bissau election inspires optimism – but there are still big risks. With Clayton Besaw. The Conversation. February 16, 2020.

Bissau-Guineans hold their breath – again – as uncertainty deepens. With Clayton Besaw. The Conversation. November 3, 2019. Republished in All AfricaAfrican Eye Report, etc.

Essebsi is Gone: Tunisia’s young democracy faces its toughest test. With Clayton Besaw. The Conversation. August 15, 2019. Republished by All AfricaThe Wire (India), Premium Times (Nigeria), etc.

Peeling back the layers on the role of private military and security companies in Africa. With Chris Faulkner and Joshua Lambert. The Conversation. August 4, 2019. Republished by The Africa ReportQuartz, StarFM (Ghana), etc.

Rivalries ahead of Guinea-Bissau’s Election Raise Questions about StabilityThe Conversation. With Clayton Besaw and Devyn Escalanti. July 14, 2019. Reposted in All AfricaMiddle East and North Africa Financial Network, etc.

Understanding Coup Risk in Guinea-Bissau. With Clayton Besaw. Political Violence @ a Glance. March 25, 2019.

Did the Zimbabwe Coup Encourage Gabon’s Plotters? With Mwita Chacha. Political Violence @ a Glance. January 24, 2019. Republished by This Week in Africa.

The coup in Gabon surprised everyone. Why forecasts, and the plot, failed. With Clayton Besaw. The Conversation. January 15, 2019. Republished by All AfricaPolity (South Africa), The Rwandan, WorldNews (WN) Network, Business Times Africa, etc.

It’s been one year since Zimbabwe toppled Mugabe. Why isn’t it a democracy yet? With Mwita Chacha. Washington Post (Monkey Cage). November 17, 2018. Republished by The ZimbabweanNew ZimbabweThe Observer (Zimbabwe), etc.

Elections and Coup Risk in Zimbabwe One Year after the Coup d’état. With Clayton Besaw. Political Violence @ a Glance. November 7, 2018.

Silent Guns: Examining the Two-Year Absence of Coups in Africa. With Rebecca Schiel. Political Violence @ a Glance. September 18, 2017.

Will Turkey’s coup attempt prompt others nearby? With Curtis Bell. Washington Post (Monkey Cage). July 30, 2016.

Turkey’s coup attempt was unusual, but not for the reasons you expect. With Curtis Bell. Washington Post (Monkey Cage). July 22, 2016.

The Military in Politics: Complications in Counting. Lawyers, Guns, & Money. May 20, 2014.

Will Thailand’s Coup Actually Fix Anything. Washington Post (Monkey Cage). May 29, 2014.

Conflict, Self-interest, and Disaggregating the Pointy End of the State. Lawyers Guns & Money. November 26, 2012.